Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec played?

Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Warta Poznań

Stal Mielec

The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and Stal Mielec (1,821).

Warta Poznań win48 %

Draw25 %

Stal Mielec win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stal Mielec have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Poznań
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Resovia Rzeszów(home)	0-1	Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

Stal Mielec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	0-4	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Polonia Bytom(home)	5-2	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	3-3	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	2-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Warta Poznań win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stal Mielec win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2024	Warta Poznań 5-2 Stal Mielec	Ekstraklasa
Oct 23, 2023	Stal Mielec 0-1 Warta Poznań	Ekstraklasa
May 27, 2023	Stal Mielec 1-0 Warta Poznań	Ekstraklasa
Nov 11, 2022	Warta Poznań 1-1 Stal Mielec	Ekstraklasa
Apr 16, 2022	Stal Mielec 0-1 Warta Poznań	Ekstraklasa
Oct 24, 2021	Warta Poznań 0-0 Stal Mielec	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec on Apr 22, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Warta Poznań	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15
Stal Mielec	2.1	1.9	0	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Warta Poznań	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
7	Stal Mielec	5	2	2	1	11	11	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec?: The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec played?: Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.