Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?
Liverpool starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (2,291 vs 2,170).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 14D. Ndoye
- 24J. McAtee
- 21X. Schlager
- 27D. Muñoz
- 5Murillo
- 2O. Diomande
- 34O. Aina
- 26M. Sels
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 67L. Koumas
- 7F. Wirtz
- 29B. Barcola
- 38R. Gravenberch
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 23Víctor Muñoz
- 33R. Araújo
- 5J. Jacquet
- 4V. van Dijk
- 6M. Kerkez
- 1Alisson Becker
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Liverpool have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 6-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nottingham Forest wins, 2 draws, 2 Liverpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Liverpool 0-3 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Liverpool 0-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nottingham Forest sit 15th in Premier League (5 points from 6 matches) and Liverpool sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool played?
- Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The City Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.