Odra Opole vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Itaka Arena, Opole
The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Opole vs Polonia Bytom?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Odra Opole (1,803) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Opole have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Odra Opole win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Polonia Bytom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Odra Opole 0-2 Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Polonia Bytom 0-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Odra Opole 1-1 Polonia Bytom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Odra Opole 0-2 Polonia Bytom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Odra Opole 7-1 Polonia Bytom | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Polonia Bytom on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Opole sit 9th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Opole vs Polonia Bytom?
- The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Polonia Bytom.
- Where and when is Odra Opole vs Polonia Bytom played?
- Odra Opole vs Polonia Bytom is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Itaka Arena, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Arka GdyniavsChrobry Głogów
- May 1, 2027NiecieczavsMiedz Legnica
- May 1, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsStal Rzeszów
- May 1, 2027Stal MielecvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 1, 2027Warta PoznańvsPodbeskidzie
- May 1, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsRuch Chorzów
- May 1, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsLechia Gdansk
- May 1, 2027Polonia WarszawavsŁKS Łódź