Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and Podbeskidzie (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Warta Poznań win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Podbeskidzie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Warta Poznań 1-2 Podbeskidzie | II Liga - East |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Podbeskidzie 2-3 Warta Poznań | II Liga - East |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Warta Poznań 2-0 Podbeskidzie | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 19, 2020 | Podbeskidzie 1-2 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 9, 2020 | Podbeskidzie 2-0 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Aug 21, 2019 | Warta Poznań 2-1 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warta Poznań | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Warta Poznań.
- Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie played?
- Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Arka GdyniavsChrobry Głogów
- May 1, 2027NiecieczavsMiedz Legnica
- May 1, 2027Odra OpolevsPolonia Bytom
- May 1, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsStal Rzeszów
- May 1, 2027Stal MielecvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 1, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsRuch Chorzów
- May 1, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsLechia Gdansk
- May 1, 2027Polonia WarszawavsŁKS Łódź