Match

Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Warta PoznańPodbeskidzie

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and Podbeskidzie (1,952).

Warta Poznań win34 %
Draw25 %
Podbeskidzie win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Poznań
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-3I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Nieciecza(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)0-1Cup
Jul 31, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)3-0I Liga
Podbeskidzie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Opole(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-0Cup
Aug 2, 2026Stal Mielec(away)3-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Warta Poznań win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Podbeskidzie win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Warta Poznań 1-2 PodbeskidzieII Liga - East
Oct 4, 2025Podbeskidzie 2-3 Warta PoznańII Liga - East
Mar 21, 2021Warta Poznań 2-0 PodbeskidzieEkstraklasa
Oct 19, 2020Podbeskidzie 1-2 Warta PoznańEkstraklasa
Mar 9, 2020Podbeskidzie 2-0 Warta PoznańI Liga
Aug 21, 2019Warta Poznań 2-1 PodbeskidzieI Liga

Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Poznań1.71.659/1510/15
Podbeskidzie1.81.1312/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Warta Poznań53021089
13Podbeskidzie5050885

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie?
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Warta Poznań.
Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie played?
Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warta Poznań and Podbeskidzie

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