Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Lechia Gdansk played?

Unia Skierniewice vs Lechia Gdansk is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Skierniewice vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice

Unia Skierniewice

Lechia Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Lechia Gdansk?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,912) and Lechia Gdansk (1,850).

Unia Skierniewice win48 %

Draw25 %

Lechia Gdansk win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Skierniewice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-3	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(home)	2-2	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-3	I Liga

Lechia Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Podbeskidzie(away)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	0-3	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-3	I Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Skierniewice	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	11/15
Lechia Gdansk	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Unia Skierniewice	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	1	3	3	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Lechia Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Lechia Gdansk played?: Unia Skierniewice vs Lechia Gdansk is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.