Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Miedz Legnica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,871) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nieciecza win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Miedz Legnica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2025 | Miedz Legnica 1-4 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Nieciecza 1-1 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Miedz Legnica 2-2 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Nieciecza 1-4 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| May 8, 2021 | Nieciecza 0-2 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Miedz Legnica 2-3 Nieciecza | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza on May 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica?
- The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Miedz Legnica.
- Where and when is Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica played?
- Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Arka GdyniavsChrobry Głogów
- May 1, 2027Odra OpolevsPolonia Bytom
- May 1, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsStal Rzeszów
- May 1, 2027Stal MielecvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 1, 2027Warta PoznańvsPodbeskidzie
- May 1, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsRuch Chorzów
- May 1, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsLechia Gdansk
- May 1, 2027Polonia WarszawavsŁKS Łódź