Match

Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza

NiecieczaMiedz Legnica

The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Miedz Legnica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,871) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).

Nieciecza win39 %
Draw26 %
Miedz Legnica win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nieciecza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-3I Liga
Aug 16, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Warta Poznań(home)1-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)2-1I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Nea Salamis(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Miedz Legnica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)3-0I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)2-0I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nieciecza win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Miedz Legnica win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 19, 2025Miedz Legnica 1-4 NiecieczaI Liga
Nov 9, 2024Nieciecza 1-1 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
Dec 18, 2023Miedz Legnica 2-2 NiecieczaI Liga
Jul 29, 2023Nieciecza 1-4 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
May 8, 2021Nieciecza 0-2 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
Nov 15, 2020Miedz Legnica 2-3 NiecieczaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza on May 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nieciecza2.11.6410/1510/15
Miedz Legnica1.31.166/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Miedz Legnica53118210
11Nieciecza5203786

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica?
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Miedz Legnica.
Where and when is Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica played?
Nieciecza vs Miedz Legnica is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nieciecza and Miedz Legnica

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