Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów played?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

Ruch Chorzów

The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?

Ruch Chorzów starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,862 vs 1,759).

Pogoń Siedlce win30 %

Draw28 %

Ruch Chorzów win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

Ruch Chorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	0-2	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Ruch Chorzów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 13, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 2-1 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Aug 8, 2025	Ruch Chorzów 0-2 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Feb 17, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Aug 2, 2024	Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Dec 1, 2021	Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 Ruch Chorzów	II Liga - East
Jul 30, 2021	Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Pogoń Siedlce	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15
Ruch Chorzów	1.2	1.2	5	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Ruch Chorzów	5	2	1	2	3	5	7
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?: The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów played?: Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.