Puszcza Niepołomice vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Stal Rzeszów?
Puszcza Niepołomice starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stal Rzeszów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice 4-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Stal Rzeszów 2-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Stal Rzeszów 1-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | Cup |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Stal Rzeszów 1-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Puszcza Niepołomice 2-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Stal Rzeszów on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th in I Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Stal Rzeszów?
- The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Stal Rzeszów played?
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Stal Rzeszów is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Arka GdyniavsChrobry Głogów
- May 1, 2027NiecieczavsMiedz Legnica
- May 1, 2027Odra OpolevsPolonia Bytom
- May 1, 2027Stal MielecvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 1, 2027Warta PoznańvsPodbeskidzie
- May 1, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsRuch Chorzów
- May 1, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsLechia Gdansk
- May 1, 2027Polonia WarszawavsŁKS Łódź