Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for ŁKS Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Polonia Warszawa (1,886) and ŁKS Łódź (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Warszawa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; ŁKS Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stal Mielec(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Polonia Warszawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 ŁKS Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa 0-1 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | ŁKS Łódź 2-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | Polonia Warszawa 0-1 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | ŁKS Łódź 0-0 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Nov 17, 2023 | ŁKS Łódź 2-0 Polonia Warszawa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2023 | ŁKS Łódź 6-2 Polonia Warszawa | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź on Mar 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| ŁKS Łódź | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Warszawa sit 4th in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for ŁKS Łódź.
- Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź played?
- Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Arka GdyniavsChrobry Głogów
- May 1, 2027NiecieczavsMiedz Legnica
- May 1, 2027Odra OpolevsPolonia Bytom
- May 1, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsStal Rzeszów
- May 1, 2027Stal MielecvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 1, 2027Warta PoznańvsPodbeskidzie
- May 1, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsRuch Chorzów
- May 1, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsLechia Gdansk