Match

Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, Warszawa

Polonia WarszawaŁKS Łódź

The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for ŁKS Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Polonia Warszawa (1,886) and ŁKS Łódź (1,898).

Polonia Warszawa win40 %
Draw26 %
ŁKS Łódź win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Warszawa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; ŁKS Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Warszawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nieciecza(away)3-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Unia Skierniewice(home)3-1I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
ŁKS Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stal Mielec(home)4-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Nieciecza(home)2-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)2-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Polonia Warszawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 ŁKS Łódź win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2026Polonia Warszawa 0-1 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
Aug 23, 2025ŁKS Łódź 2-2 Polonia WarszawaI Liga
May 17, 2025Polonia Warszawa 0-1 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
Nov 8, 2024ŁKS Łódź 0-0 Polonia WarszawaI Liga
Nov 17, 2023ŁKS Łódź 2-0 Polonia WarszawaFriendlies Clubs
Jul 14, 2023ŁKS Łódź 6-2 Polonia WarszawaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź on Mar 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Warszawa1.51.7110/1510/15
ŁKS Łódź1.91.3211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Warszawa sit 4th in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3ŁKS Łódź531110510
4Polonia Warszawa53118410

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź?
The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for ŁKS Łódź.
Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź played?
Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Polonia Warszawa and ŁKS Łódź

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