Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec
The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Odra Opole. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,820) and Odra Opole (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Odra Opole have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 5-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stal Mielec win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Odra Opole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Odra Opole 0-2 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Stal Mielec 2-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Odra Opole 1-2 Stal Mielec | Cup |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Stal Mielec 1-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Oct 24, 2019 | Odra Opole 1-0 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
| Apr 24, 2019 | Odra Opole 1-1 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Mielec | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Mielec sit 7th in I Liga (8 points from 5 matches) and Odra Opole sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Mielec | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Odra Opole.
- Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole played?
- Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Miedz LegnicavsChrobry Głogów
- Sep 5, 2026Arka GdyniavsŁKS Łódź
- Sep 5, 2026NiecieczavsLechia Gdansk
- Sep 5, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 5, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsUnia Skierniewice
- Sep 5, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Sep 5, 2026Polonia BytomvsPodbeskidzie
- Sep 5, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsWarta Poznań