Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg played?

Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz

Warta Sieradz

Olimpia Elbląg

The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Warta Sieradz starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,635).

Warta Sieradz win66 %

Draw19 %

Olimpia Elbląg win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Sieradz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)	0-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Troszyn(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Jagiellonia II(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 9, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Mławianka Mława(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Olimpia Elbląg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Widzew II(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Warta Sieradz win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Olimpia Elbląg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 25, 2026	Warta Sieradz 4-1 Olimpia Elbląg	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 9, 2025	Olimpia Elbląg 0-2 Warta Sieradz	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg on Mar 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Warta Sieradz	1.9	1.1	5	9/15	10/15
Olimpia Elbląg	1.1	1.9	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Olimpia Elbląg	5	2	1	2	9	9	7
12	Warta Sieradz	5	2	1	2	8	9	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?: The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg played?: Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.