Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo: result 4-0 and analysis
Taça de Portugal1/128-finalsKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Carlos Osório, Oliveira de Azeméis
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What was the result of Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo?
Oliveirense won 4-0 on August 29, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Oliveirense win at 93%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oliveirense have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Penalva Castelo have 0, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 3-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| May 17, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-5 | Segunda Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Anadia(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Amarante(home) | 0-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol(home) | 4-4 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Oliveirense score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penalva Castelo score 1.7 and concede 3.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliveirense | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Penalva Castelo | 1.7 | 3.7 | 0 | 2/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy