Osaka vs Ventforet Kofu: prediction and stats
J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 36% for Ventforet Kofu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osaka vs Ventforet Kofu?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Osaka (1,715) and Ventforet Kofu (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Ventforet Kofu have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 0-3 | J2 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki(home) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagan Tosu(away) | 0-2 | J2 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ventforet Kofu score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osaka | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Ventforet Kofu | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Ventforet Kofu?
- The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 36% for Ventforet Kofu.
- Where and when is Osaka vs Ventforet Kofu played?
- Osaka vs Ventforet Kofu is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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