Match

Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Piast GliwiceGornik Zabrze

The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gornik Zabrze. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

Gornik Zabrze starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,917).

Piast Gliwice win40 %
Draw27 %
Gornik Zabrze win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gornik Zabrze have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Piast Gliwice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(home)3-4Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Lech Poznan(away)0-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)4-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)0-2Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Monaco(home)2-3UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(home)1-1UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(away)0-1UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Piast Gliwice win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gornik Zabrze win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
Jul 26, 2025Piast Gliwice 0-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
May 17, 2025Piast Gliwice 2-0 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Nov 24, 2024Gornik Zabrze 1-0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
Feb 10, 2024Piast Gliwice 1-3 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Aug 5, 2023Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Piast Gliwice1.41.648/157/15
Gornik Zabrze1.61.3210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gornik Zabrze3300739
14Piast Gliwice51138134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gornik Zabrze.
Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze played?
Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Piast Gliwice and Gornik Zabrze

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