Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Cracovia Krakow (1,949) and Piast Gliwice (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cracovia Krakow have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cracovia Krakow win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Piast Gliwice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow 2-3 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd in Ekstraklasa (8 points from 5 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice?
- The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Piast Gliwice.
- Where and when is Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice played?
- Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsWidzew Łódź
- Apr 17, 2027Wisla PlockvsJagiellonia
- Apr 17, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsMotor Lublin
- Apr 17, 2027Lech PoznanvsLegia Warszawa
- Apr 17, 2027GKS KatowicevsKorona Kielce
- Apr 17, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsWisla Krakow
- Apr 17, 2027Radomiak RadomvsPogon Szczecin
- Apr 17, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsSlask Wroclaw