Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin played?

Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok

Jagiellonia

Zaglebie Lubin

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (2,060 vs 1,952).

Jagiellonia win50 %

Draw26 %

Zaglebie Lubin win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jagiellonia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Jagiellonia 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Nov 30, 2025	Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Jul 11, 2025	Jagiellonia 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 21, 2025	Jagiellonia 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Oct 19, 2024	Zaglebie Lubin 1-3 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Apr 20, 2024	Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15
Zaglebie Lubin	1.3	0.9	7	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 3 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Zaglebie Lubin	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Zaglebie Lubin.
Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin played?: Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.