Match

Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon SzczecinGKS Katowice

The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for GKS Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and GKS Katowice (2,011).

Pogon Szczecin win47 %
Draw25 %
GKS Katowice win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; GKS Katowice have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Motor Lublin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026Sturm Graz(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
GKS Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Plock(home)5-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Motor Lublin(away)0-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 12, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv(home)2-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv(away)0-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Radomiak Radom(home)3-1Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 GKS Katowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pogon Szczecin 1-1 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Nov 29, 2025GKS Katowice 2-0 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Apr 6, 2025Pogon Szczecin 4-0 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Sep 27, 2024GKS Katowice 3-1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin1.41.347/158/15
GKS Katowice1.91.148/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and GKS Katowice sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Pogon Szczecin4211747
8GKS Katowice4202946

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?
The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for GKS Katowice.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice played?
Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pogon Szczecin and GKS Katowice

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