Gornik Zabrze vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Widzew Łódź?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Gornik Zabrze (2,041) and Widzew Łódź (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Widzew Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź 0-0 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Gornik Zabrze 3-2 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 0-2 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 3-1 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Widzew Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Widzew Łódź.
- Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Widzew Łódź played?
- Gornik Zabrze vs Widzew Łódź is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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