Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław
The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Slask Wroclaw (1,958) and Motor Lublin (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slask Wroclaw have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Slask Wroclaw win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Motor Lublin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Motor Lublin 2-1 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Motor Lublin | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slask Wroclaw sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin?
- The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Motor Lublin.
- Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin played?
- Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027JagielloniavsZaglebie Lubin
- Apr 10, 2027Wisla KrakowvsWidzew Łódź
- Apr 10, 2027Legia WarszawavsCracovia Krakow
- Apr 10, 2027Korona KielcevsLech Poznan
- Apr 10, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsGKS Katowice
- Apr 10, 2027Piast GliwicevsGornik Zabrze
- Apr 10, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 10, 2027Radomiak RadomvsWisla Plock