Match

Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław

Slask WroclawMotor Lublin

The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Slask Wroclaw (1,958) and Motor Lublin (1,930).

Slask Wroclaw win50 %
Draw25 %
Motor Lublin win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slask Wroclaw have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slask Wroclaw
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Cracovia Krakow(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Raków Częstochowa(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026GKS Katowice(home)1-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Slask Wroclaw win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Motor Lublin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2025Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Sep 28, 2024Motor Lublin 2-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slask Wroclaw2.11.1510/1512/15
Motor Lublin1.41.639/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slask Wroclaw sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Slask Wroclaw5122785
13Motor Lublin5122685

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin?
The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Motor Lublin.
Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin played?
Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Slask Wroclaw and Motor Lublin

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