Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow?
Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Legia Warszawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Cracovia Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa 1-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| May 18, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 3-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 3-2 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Legia Warszawa 2-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Cracovia Krakow.
- Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow played?
- Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Krakow is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027JagielloniavsZaglebie Lubin
- Apr 10, 2027Slask WroclawvsMotor Lublin
- Apr 10, 2027Wisla KrakowvsWidzew Łódź
- Apr 10, 2027Korona KielcevsLech Poznan
- Apr 10, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsGKS Katowice
- Apr 10, 2027Piast GliwicevsGornik Zabrze
- Apr 10, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 10, 2027Radomiak RadomvsWisla Plock