Platense vs Newells Old Boys: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Platense the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Newells Old Boys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platense vs Newells Old Boys?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Platense (1,803) and Newells Old Boys (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Newells Old Boys have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(home) | 0-4 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Platense win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Newells Old Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Newells Old Boys 1-1 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| May 11, 2024 | Newells Old Boys 2-0 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Newells Old Boys 0-0 Platense | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Platense 0-0 Newells Old Boys | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Platense 2-2 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Platense 1-1 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Newells Old Boys vs Platense on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Platense score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Newells Old Boys score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Newells Old Boys | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platense sit 12th in Liga Profesional Argentina (16 points from 16 matches) and Newells Old Boys sit 14th (15 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platense vs Newells Old Boys?
- The Footlab model makes Platense the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Newells Old Boys.
- Where and when is Platense vs Newells Old Boys played?
- Platense vs Newells Old Boys is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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