Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie?
Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Podbeskidzie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Podbeskidzie 2-3 Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Podbeskidzie 1-3 Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Podbeskidzie 0-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Puszcza Niepołomice 4-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Podbeskidzie 4-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th in I Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie played?
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Podbeskidzie is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Unia SkierniewicevsStal Rzeszów
- Aug 28, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsNieciecza
- Aug 28, 2026Odra OpolevsŁKS Łódź
- Aug 29, 2026Polonia WarszawavsLechia Gdansk
- Aug 29, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsStal Mielec
- Aug 30, 2026Miedz LegnicavsWarta Poznań
- Aug 30, 2026Arka GdyniavsPolonia Bytom
- Aug 30, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsRuch Chorzów