Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów
The Footlab model makes Stal Rzeszów the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Siedlce?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Stal Rzeszów (1,723) and Pogoń Siedlce (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Stal Rzeszów 1-1 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Stal Rzeszów 2-4 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| May 1, 2022 | Pogoń Siedlce 1-4 Stal Rzeszów | II Liga - East |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Stal Rzeszów 3-0 Pogoń Siedlce | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Pogoń Siedlce | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Rzeszów sit 18th in I Liga (2 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pogoń Siedlce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Siedlce?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Rzeszów the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pogoń Siedlce.
- Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Siedlce played?
- Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Arka GdyniavsLechia Gdansk
- Apr 17, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsPolonia Bytom
- Apr 17, 2027Odra OpolevsRuch Chorzów
- Apr 17, 2027PodbeskidzievsŁKS Łódź
- Apr 17, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsNieciecza
- Apr 17, 2027Stal MielecvsMiedz Legnica
- Apr 17, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsWarta Poznań
- Apr 17, 2027Polonia WarszawavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki