Match

Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów

Chrobry GłogówPolonia Bytom

The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,855) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).

Chrobry Głogów win47 %
Draw24 %
Polonia Bytom win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chrobry Głogów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 3, 2026Odra Opole(home)0-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)5-1I Liga
Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Stal Mielec(away)2-5I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Warta Poznań(home)4-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Polonia Bytom win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 7, 2025Polonia Bytom 2-0 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Jul 26, 2025Chrobry Głogów 0-1 Polonia BytomI Liga

Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów on Dec 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chrobry Głogów1.51.6012/1510/15
Polonia Bytom2.12.3213/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Chrobry Głogów5212857
15Polonia Bytom512211145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom?
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom played?
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chrobry Głogów and Polonia Bytom

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