Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,855) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Polonia Bytom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Polonia Bytom 2-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Chrobry Głogów 0-1 Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów on Dec 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom?
- The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Polonia Bytom.
- Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom played?
- Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Arka GdyniavsLechia Gdansk
- Apr 17, 2027Odra OpolevsRuch Chorzów
- Apr 17, 2027PodbeskidzievsŁKS Łódź
- Apr 17, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsNieciecza
- Apr 17, 2027Stal MielecvsMiedz Legnica
- Apr 17, 2027Stal RzeszówvsPogoń Siedlce
- Apr 17, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsWarta Poznań
- Apr 17, 2027Polonia WarszawavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki