Swansea University vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Sketty Lane, Swansea
The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Pontypridd Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swansea University vs Pontypridd Town?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Swansea University (1,557) and Pontypridd Town (1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea University have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Swansea University win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pontypridd Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | Pontypridd Town 1-1 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Swansea University 3-4 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Pontypridd Town 1-1 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Swansea University 3-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Swansea University on Jan 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea University score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea University | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea University sit 1st in FAW Championship (12 points from 4 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swansea University vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Pontypridd Town.
- Where and when is Swansea University vs Pontypridd Town played?
- Swansea University vs Pontypridd Town is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Sketty Lane, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Treowen StarsvsCardiff Draconians
- Aug 28, 2026Baglan DragonsvsCaerau (Ely)
- Aug 28, 2026Newport CityvsYnyshir Albions
- Aug 28, 2026llanelli AFCvsCarmarthen Town
- Aug 28, 2026Trethomas BluebirdsvsAfan Lido
- Aug 28, 2026Aberystwyth TownvsPontardawe Town
- Feb 27, 2027Llantwit MajorvsCaerphilly Athletic