Preston vs Millwall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Deepdale, Preston
The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Preston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Millwall wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preston vs Millwall?
Millwall starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,830).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Preston vs Millwall
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Preston
5-3-2- 10C. Lang
- 38J. Kenny
- 7A. Devine
- 15J. Thompson
- 27L. Leroy
- 4H. Clarke
- 14J. Storey
- 3A. Vukčević
- 17S. Mills
- 24O. Offiah
- 1D. Iversen
Known absences
A. McCannOut · Hamstring injury
B. PottsOut · Ankle injury- Theo CarrollDoubtful · Ankle injury
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 7T. Arconte
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 13L. Dykes
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 17M. Sykes
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 15M. Crocombe
Known absences
C. De NorreOut · Muscle injury- J. CoburnOut · Muscle injury
L. JensenOut · Muscle injury
M. IvanovićOut · Hamstring injury
M. LuongoOut · Knee injury- R. LeonardOut · Hamstring injury
T. CramaOut · Ankle injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Millwall have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | QPR(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Preston wins, 4 draws, 2 Millwall wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Preston 0-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Millwall 1-1 Preston | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Preston 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Millwall 3-1 Preston | Championship |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Millwall 1-1 Preston | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Preston 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Preston score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preston sit 23rd in Championship (4 points from 8 matches) and Millwall sit 11th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Preston vs Millwall?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preston vs Millwall?
- The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Preston.
- Where and when is Preston vs Millwall played?
- Preston vs Millwall is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Deepdale, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.