Racing Santander vs Malaga: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Malaga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Santander wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Malaga?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Racing Santander (2,017) and Malaga (2,005).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Santander vs Malaga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 8André Almeida
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Malaga
4-1-4-1- 9Chupe
- 10David Larrubia
- 22Dani Lorenzo
- 11Joaquín Muñoz
- 18Pablo Martínez
- 14Rafa Rodríguez
- 15Ángel Recio
- 31Rafita
- 3Puga
- 12José Salinas
- 1Alfonso Herrero
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Malaga have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Levante(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Racing Santander wins, 3 draws, 0 Malaga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Malaga 1-1 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Racing Santander 3-0 Malaga | Segunda División |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Racing Santander 2-1 Malaga | Segunda División |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Malaga 0-0 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Malaga 0-1 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Racing Santander 0-0 Malaga | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Malaga vs Racing Santander on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Malaga | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander sit 15th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Malaga sit 20th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 8 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Racing Santander vs Malaga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Malaga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Malaga.
- Where and when is Racing Santander vs Malaga played?
- Racing Santander vs Malaga is played on April 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.