Match

RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Bayer Leverkusen. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate RB Leipzig (2,220) and Bayer Leverkusen (2,317).

39%23%38%
RB Leipzig winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 30I. Maza
  3. 9Afonso Moreira
  4. 19M. Diaby
  5. 6E. Fernández
  1. 12E. Tapsoba
  2. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  3. 2F. Medina
  4. 4J. Quansah
  1. 1M. Flekken

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Lech Poznan(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)4-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026RB Leipzig(home)2-0Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2026Celje(home)2-0UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 RB Leipzig win, 1 draw, 4 Bayer Leverkusen wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
May 2, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Dec 20, 2025RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Jan 25, 2025RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Aug 31, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 2-3 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Jan 20, 2024RB Leipzig 2-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15
Bayer Leverkusen3.10.987/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 5th in Bundesliga (9 points from 5 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bayer Leverkusen531114810
5RB Leipzig53021559

A question about RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Bayer Leverkusen.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen

Ready to know everything about football?