Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen played?

RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Bayer Leverkusen

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Bayer Leverkusen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate RB Leipzig (2,211) and Bayer Leverkusen (2,286).

RB Leipzig win39 %

Draw23 %

Bayer Leverkusen win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 RB Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Bayer Leverkusen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025	RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Jan 25, 2025	RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2024	Bayer Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2024	RB Leipzig 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Aug 19, 2023	Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 3rd in Bundesliga (65 points from 34 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th (59 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Bayer Leverkusen.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen played?: RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.