Where and when is Union Berlin vs Bayern München played?

Union Berlin vs Bayern München is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Union Berlin vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union Berlin

Bayern München

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,527 Elo points against 2,034 — a 493-point gap.

Union Berlin win17 %

Draw17 %

Bayern München win66 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Ipswich(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Aris(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Cagliari(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Union Berlin win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Bayern München win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Bayern München 4-0 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Dec 3, 2025	Union Berlin 2-3 Bayern München	DFB Pokal
Nov 8, 2025	Union Berlin 2-2 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Mar 15, 2025	Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2024	Bayern München 3-0 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Apr 20, 2024	Union Berlin 1-5 Bayern München	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs Union Berlin on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Union Berlin	2.5	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 11th in Bundesliga (39 points from 34 matches) and Bayern München sit 1st (89 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs Bayern München?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs Bayern München played?: Union Berlin vs Bayern München is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.