Match

Union Berlin vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union BerlinBayern München

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-3.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,530 Elo points against 2,030, a 501-point gap.

9%13%78%
Union Berlin winDrawBayern München win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Berlin vs Bayern München

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Berlin

4-1-4-1
  1. 29E. Latte Lath
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  5. 30K. Imeri
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 19J. Haberer
  4. 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  1. 1F. Rønnow

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 17M. Olise
  2. 6J. Kimmich
  3. 14L. Díaz
  4. 45A. Pavlović
  5. 34I. Saibari
  1. 4J. Tah
  2. 2D. Upamecano
  3. 44J. Stanišić
  4. 19A. Davies
  1. 1M. Neuer

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)3-3Bundesliga
Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Viking(away)3-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Union Berlin(home)7-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026SV Elversberg(away)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Bodo/Glimt(home)5-0UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Union Berlin wins, 2 draws, 4 Bayern München wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Mar 21, 2026Bayern München 4-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Dec 3, 2025Union Berlin 2-3 Bayern MünchenDFB Pokal
Nov 8, 2025Union Berlin 2-2 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Mar 15, 2025Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Nov 2, 2024Bayern München 3-0 Union BerlinBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs Union Berlin on Sep 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Berlin2.12.5111/1511/15
Bayern München3.01.1411/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 16th in Bundesliga (4 points from 5 matches) and Bayern München sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bayern München532016411
16Union Berlin51135174

A question about Union Berlin vs Bayern München?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs Bayern München?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs Bayern München played?
Union Berlin vs Bayern München is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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