Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV played?

1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

Hamburger SV

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate 1. FC Köln (2,048) and Hamburger SV (2,071).

1. FC Köln win52 %

Draw22 %

Hamburger SV win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

Hamburger SV
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Verl(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Toulouse(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Lille(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Everton(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Rapid Vienna(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Köln win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hamburger SV win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Hamburger SV 1-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2025	1. FC Köln 4-1 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Jan 18, 2025	Hamburger SV 1-0 1. FC Köln	2. Bundesliga
Aug 2, 2024	1. FC Köln 1-2 Hamburger SV	2. Bundesliga
Jan 7, 2023	1. FC Köln 4-0 Hamburger SV	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 18, 2022	1. FC Köln 1-1 Hamburger SV	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
Hamburger SV	1.6	1.8	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV played?: 1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.