FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MEWA ARENA, Mainz
The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 (2,155) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Krieschow(away) | 9-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FSV Mainz 05 win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| Dec 5, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 0-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-3 FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 25, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-2 FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Mainz 05 score 3.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th in Bundesliga (40 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | 40 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MEWA ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027SC FreiburgvsEintracht Frankfurt
- Feb 13, 2027Borussia DortmundvsVfB Stuttgart
- Feb 13, 20271899 HoffenheimvsSC Paderborn 07
- Feb 13, 2027FC AugsburgvsWerder Bremen
- Feb 13, 2027RB LeipzigvsBayer Leverkusen
- Feb 13, 2027Union BerlinvsBayern München
- Feb 13, 20271. FC KölnvsHamburger SV
- Feb 13, 2027SV ElversbergvsFC Schalke 04