Match

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MEWA ARENA, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05Borussia Mönchengladbach

The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 (2,155) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107).

FSV Mainz 05 win48 %
Draw23 %
Borussia Mönchengladbach win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Krieschow(away)9-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Paris FC(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Udinese(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Schott Mainz(away)5-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FSV Mainz 05 win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Dec 5, 2025FSV Mainz 05 0-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Mar 7, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-3 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2024FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Mar 2, 2024FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Oct 6, 2023Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-2 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Mainz 05 score 3.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 053.01.367/1511/15
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.90.968/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th in Bundesliga (40 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10FSV Mainz 0534101014445340
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MEWA ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Mönchengladbach

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