Match

1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 HoffenheimSC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,163) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,092).

1899 Hoffenheim win49 %
Draw24 %
SC Paderborn 07 win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Tottenham(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026SGV Freiberg(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Phönix Lübeck(away)4-2DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)2-1Bundesliga
May 21, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(away)0-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 1899 Hoffenheim win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2020SC Paderborn 07 1-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Nov 1, 20191899 Hoffenheim 3-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
Mar 21, 2015SC Paderborn 07 0-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Oct 25, 20141899 Hoffenheim 1-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim on May 23, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim1.91.948/1513/15
SC Paderborn 071.91.5411/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
51899 Hoffenheim341879655261

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07?
The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1899 Hoffenheim and SC Paderborn 07

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