1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,163) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,092).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 4-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| May 21, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 1899 Hoffenheim win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2020 | SC Paderborn 07 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
| Mar 21, 2015 | SC Paderborn 07 0-0 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1899 Hoffenheim 1-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim on May 23, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 61 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07?
- The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for SC Paderborn 07.
- Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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