Match

Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart

The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for VfB Stuttgart. The most likely score is 1-1. If Borussia Dortmund wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart?

On Elo ratings, Borussia Dortmund has 2,340 points and VfB Stuttgart 2,290.

53%22%25%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawVfB Stuttgart win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1
  1. 9S. Guirassy
  1. 24D. Svensson
  2. 14M. Beier
  3. 7J. Bellingham
  4. 8F. Nmecha
  5. 18E. Nwaneri
  6. 26J. Ryerson
  1. 3W. Anton
  2. 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
  3. 4N. Schlotterbeck
  1. 1G. Kobel

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 18J. Leweling
  4. 16A. Karazor
  5. 11B. El Khannouss
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 3R. Hendriks
  3. 4J. Vagnoman
  4. 29Finn Jeltsch
  1. 41D. Seimen

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:31 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Union Berlin(away)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 14, 2026Bodo/Glimt(away)0-1UEFA Champions League
Oct 9, 2026Werder Bremen(home)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026VfB Stuttgart(away)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)3-0Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Hamburger SV(away)0-1Bundesliga
Oct 14, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Borussia Dortmund wins, 1 draw, 3 VfB Stuttgart wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Apr 4, 2026VfB Stuttgart 0-2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Nov 22, 2025Borussia Dortmund 3-3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Feb 8, 2025Borussia Dortmund 1-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Sep 22, 2024VfB Stuttgart 5-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Apr 6, 2024Borussia Dortmund 0-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund1.81.167/159/15
VfB Stuttgart2.61.157/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in Bundesliga (14 points from 6 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Borussia Dortmund642011414
13VfB Stuttgart62048106

A question about Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart?
The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for VfB Stuttgart.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart played?
Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Borussia Dortmund and VfB Stuttgart

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