Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for VfB Stuttgart. The most likely score is 1-1. If Borussia Dortmund wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart?
On Elo ratings, Borussia Dortmund has 2,340 points and VfB Stuttgart 2,290.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1- 9S. Guirassy
- 24D. Svensson
- 14M. Beier
- 7J. Bellingham
- 8F. Nmecha
- 18E. Nwaneri
- 26J. Ryerson
- 3W. Anton
- 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
- 4N. Schlotterbeck
- 1G. Kobel
VfB Stuttgart
4-2-3-1- 9E. Demirović
- 6A. Stiller
- 26D. Undav
- 18J. Leweling
- 16A. Karazor
- 11B. El Khannouss
- 24J. Chabot
- 3R. Hendriks
- 4J. Vagnoman
- 29Finn Jeltsch
- 41D. Seimen
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Borussia Dortmund wins, 1 draw, 3 VfB Stuttgart wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart 0-2 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund 3-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Sep 22, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart 5-1 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Borussia Dortmund 0-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 2.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in Bundesliga (14 points from 6 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart?
- The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for VfB Stuttgart.
- Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart played?
- Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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