Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart played?

Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

VfB Stuttgart

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for VfB Stuttgart. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund (2,293) and VfB Stuttgart (2,252).

Borussia Dortmund win45 %

Draw22 %

VfB Stuttgart win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern München(home)	1-2	Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

VfB Stuttgart
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Fulham(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Everton(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Paris FC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	8-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Borussia Dortmund win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 VfB Stuttgart win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	VfB Stuttgart 0-2 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 3-3 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Feb 8, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 1-2 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Sep 22, 2024	VfB Stuttgart 5-1 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Apr 6, 2024	Borussia Dortmund 0-1 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2023	VfB Stuttgart 2-0 Borussia Dortmund	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	9/15
VfB Stuttgart	3.1	1.3	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in Bundesliga (73 points from 34 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 4th (62 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	73
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	62

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for VfB Stuttgart.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart played?: Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.