Match

FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgWerder Bremen

The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,073) and Werder Bremen (2,041).

FC Augsburg win41 %
Draw24 %
Werder Bremen win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs
Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)3-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Auxerre(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VfL Bochum(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Werder Bremen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Werder Bremen 1-3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Dec 20, 2025FC Augsburg 0-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Jan 19, 2025Werder Bremen 0-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Aug 24, 2024FC Augsburg 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Apr 27, 2024FC Augsburg 0-3 Werder BremenBundesliga
Dec 9, 2023Werder Bremen 2-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15
Werder Bremen1.81.348/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC Augsburg3412715456143
15Werder Bremen348818376032

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen?
The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen played?
FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Augsburg and Werder Bremen

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