Real Madrid III vs Arosa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arosa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,678 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Arosa?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Real Madrid III (1,848) and Arosa (1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Madrid III vs Arosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the Real Madrid III lineup.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 03:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid III have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Arosa have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid III score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid III | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Arosa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Arosa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Real Madrid III vs Arosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid III vs Arosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Real Madrid III.
- Where and when is Real Madrid III vs Arosa played?
- Real Madrid III vs Arosa is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026CompostelavsOurense CF
- Nov 15, 2026GernikavsReal Oviedo II
- Nov 15, 2026AmorebietavsEibar II
- Nov 15, 2026BergantiñosvsSestao River
- Nov 15, 2026CoruxovsLlanera
- Nov 15, 2026PortugaletevsMarino de Luanco
- Nov 15, 2026Racing Santander IIvsGimnástica Torrelavega
- Nov 15, 2026BasconiavsDeportivo Alavés II