Where and when is Real Madrid III vs Arosa played?

Real Madrid III vs Arosa is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Madrid III vs Arosa: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, Madrid

Real Madrid III

Arosa

The Footlab model makes Real Madrid III the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Madrid III vs Arosa?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Real Madrid III (1,852) and Arosa (1,903).

Real Madrid III win37 %

Draw28 %

Arosa win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid III have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arosa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Madrid III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Estepona(away)	1-3	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Estepona(home)	2-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Conquense(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	SS Reyes(away)	3-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Arosa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Celtiga(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Cambados(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Boiro(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Barco(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Real Madrid III score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Madrid III	1.5	1.1	6	7/15	8/15
Arosa	1.7	0.8	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Madrid III vs Arosa?: The Footlab model makes Real Madrid III the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Arosa.
Where and when is Real Madrid III vs Arosa played?: Real Madrid III vs Arosa is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.