Match

Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah

Real Salt LakeSt. Louis City

The Footlab AI model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Real Salt Lake. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Louis City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?

St. Louis City starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,973 vs 1,839).

24%23%53%
Real Salt Lake winDrawSt. Louis City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Salt Lake

3-4-3
  1. 22S. Solans
  2. 9M. Guilavogui
  3. 39A. Hezarkhani
  1. 92N. Caliskan
  2. 29S. Junqua
  3. 6S. Spierings
  4. 11D. Marczuk
  1. 2D. Yedlin
  2. 26P. Quinton
  3. 3K. Henry
  1. 1Rafael Cabral

St. Louis City

3-4-3
  1. 23A. Mățan
  2. 9Rafael Navarro
  3. 19C. Holse
  1. 6C. Wallem
  2. 14T. Totland
  3. 8C. Durkin
  4. 24D. Edelman
  1. 32T. Baumgartl
  2. 21D. Polvara
  3. 27F. Fall
  1. 1R. Bürki

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:17 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; St. Louis City have 11, 4 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Salt Lake
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026New England Revolution(home)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)0-3Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026New York City FC(home)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)1-2Major League Soccer
St. Louis City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 30, 2026New York Red Bulls(away)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Toronto FC(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2026Colorado Rapids(away)3-0US Open Cup
Sep 13, 2026Minnesota United FC(home)4-2Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Portland Timbers(away)2-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Salt Lake wins, 4 draws, 0 St. Louis City wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2026St. Louis City 1-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Oct 19, 2025St. Louis City 2-2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025Real Salt Lake 3-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
Feb 5, 2025St. Louis City 1-1 Real Salt LakeFriendlies Clubs
Mar 31, 2024Real Salt Lake 3-1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024St. Louis City 1-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Salt Lake score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; St. Louis City score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Salt Lake1.31.637/159/15
St. Louis City2.51.1411/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Salt Lake sit 11th in Major League Soccer (32 points from 27 matches) and St. Louis City sit 2nd (47 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2St. Louis City271386483647
11Real Salt Lake279513404432

A question about Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
The Footlab AI model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Real Salt Lake.
Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City played?
Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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