Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City played?

Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah

Real Salt Lake

St. Louis City

The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for St. Louis City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Real Salt Lake (1,795) and St. Louis City (1,806).

Real Salt Lake win43 %

Draw25 %

St. Louis City win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; St. Louis City have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Salt Lake
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	3-4	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	FC Juarez(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Atlante FC(home)	4-0	Leagues Cup

St. Louis City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes(away)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Real Salt Lake(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Colorado Rapids(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Salt Lake win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 St. Louis City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 2, 2026	St. Louis City 1-1 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2025	St. Louis City 2-2 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025	Real Salt Lake 3-2 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer
Feb 5, 2025	St. Louis City 1-1 Real Salt Lake	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 31, 2024	Real Salt Lake 3-1 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024	St. Louis City 1-1 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; St. Louis City score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Salt Lake	1.9	1.3	4	11/15	10/15
St. Louis City	1.8	1.1	3	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Salt Lake sit 8th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 20 matches) and St. Louis City sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	St. Louis City	21	9	6	6	30	27	33
8	Real Salt Lake	20	8	4	8	34	32	28

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?: The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for St. Louis City.
Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City played?: Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.