Match

FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa

FC RyukyuRenofa Yamaguchi

The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Renofa Yamaguchi wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,855 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Renofa Yamaguchi starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,652).

23%27%50%
FC Ryukyu winDrawRenofa Yamaguchi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Ryukyu

4-3-3
  1. 23K. Sota
  2. 19T. Teruuchi
  3. 18Y. Ueno
  1. 17Y. Kato
  2. 13S. Iwamoto
  3. 10Y. Tomidokoro
  1. 4H. Fujiharu
  2. 14J. Suzuki
  3. 27Y. Funabashi
  4. 15R. Araki
  1. 1H. Sato

Renofa Yamaguchi

4-3-3
  1. 13Sota Watanabe
  2. 19S. Yamamoto
  3. 11K. Fujioka
  1. 4K. Nakashima
  2. 40H. Naruoka
  3. 17K. Tanabe
  1. 33S. Kikuchi
  2. 5K. Yoshioka
  3. 2R. Ozawa
  4. 15T. Itakura
  1. 35K. Uchiyama

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ryukyu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Tochigi SC(home)1-0J3 League
Oct 10, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Kanazawa(home)0-2J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Ehime FC(home)1-1J3 League
Sep 20, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)0-3J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Kochi United(home)2-0J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Tochigi SC(away)1-0J3 League
Oct 3, 2026FC Gifu(away)2-0J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Sagamihara(home)2-2J3 League
Sep 20, 2026Kanazawa(away)2-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ryukyu win, 1 draw, 4 Renofa Yamaguchi wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 FC RyukyuJ3 League
Apr 29, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 FC RyukyuJ2/J3 League
Mar 14, 2026FC Ryukyu 1-1 Renofa YamaguchiJ2/J3 League
Sep 18, 2022FC Ryukyu 0-1 Renofa YamaguchiJ2 League
Mar 12, 2022Renofa Yamaguchi 2-3 FC RyukyuJ2 League
Nov 3, 2021Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 FC RyukyuJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Renofa Yamaguchi vs FC Ryukyu on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ryukyu score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Ryukyu1.51.539/159/15
Renofa Yamaguchi1.41.076/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ryukyu sit 12th in J3 League (14 points from 11 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Renofa Yamaguchi1172216723
12FC Ryukyu11425121414

A question about FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for FC Ryukyu.
Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?
FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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