Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?

FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa

FC Ryukyu

Renofa Yamaguchi

The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Renofa Yamaguchi starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,717 vs 1,601).

FC Ryukyu win32 %

Draw27 %

Renofa Yamaguchi win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ryukyu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jul 17, 2026	Urawa(home)	5-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Fukushima United(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League
May 31, 2026	Imabari(away)	2-1	J2/J3 League

Renofa Yamaguchi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nara Club(away)	1-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ryukyu win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 FC Ryukyu	J3 League
Apr 29, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 FC Ryukyu	J2/J3 League
Mar 14, 2026	FC Ryukyu 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi	J2/J3 League
Sep 18, 2022	FC Ryukyu 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi	J2 League
Mar 12, 2022	Renofa Yamaguchi 2-3 FC Ryukyu	J2 League
Nov 3, 2021	Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 FC Ryukyu	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Renofa Yamaguchi vs FC Ryukyu on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Ryukyu	1.1	1.5	2	8/15	6/15
Renofa Yamaguchi	1.5	1.5	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ryukyu sit 18th in J3 League (1 points from 2 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
18	FC Ryukyu	2	0	1	1	2	3	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?: The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for FC Ryukyu.
Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?: FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.