Rijnvogels vs Bennekom: prediction and stats
KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Kooltuin, Katwijk aan Zee
The Footlab model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Bennekom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rijnvogels vs Bennekom?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Rijnvogels (1,790) and Bennekom (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rijnvogels have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bennekom have 0, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2016 | AFC '34(away) | 1-4 | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
Rijnvogels score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bennekom score 1.0 and concede 4.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijnvogels | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bennekom | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rijnvogels vs Bennekom?
- The Footlab model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Bennekom.
- Where and when is Rijnvogels vs Bennekom played?
- Rijnvogels vs Bennekom is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Kooltuin, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.