Match

Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe

Rosario CentralIndepend. Rivadavia

The Footlab AI model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Independ. Rivadavia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rosario Central wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Rosario Central (2,010) and Independ. Rivadavia (2,020).

41%29%30%
Rosario Central winDrawIndepend. Rivadavia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rosario Central

4-2-3-1
  1. 22E. Copetti
  1. 11Á. Di María
  2. 5F. Ibarra
  3. 26G. Cantizano
  4. 31F. Navarro
  5. 27G. Duarte
  1. 13G. Ávila
  2. 46Ignacio Ovando
  3. 32E. Coronel
  4. 3A. Sandez
  1. 23J. Ledesma

Independ. Rivadavia

4-3-1-2
  1. 17M. Salas
  2. 43F. Sartori
  1. 25J. Florentín
  2. 10M. Fernández
  3. 5T. Bottari
  4. 77L. Sequeira
  1. 2L. Costa
  2. 3J. Elordi
  3. 42S. Studer
  4. 14L. Gómez
  1. 30Nicolás Bolcato

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosario Central have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Independ. Rivadavia have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rosario Central
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026Banfield(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 26, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(away)3-1Super Copa International
Sep 20, 2026Argentinos JRS(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 13, 2026Tigre(away)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 6, 2026Newells Old Boys(home)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Independ. Rivadavia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Gimnasia L.P.(home)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 21, 2026Barracas Central(away)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 16, 2026Atletico Tucuman(home)1-1Copa Argentina
Sep 12, 2026Aldosivi(home)4-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 6, 2026River Plate(away)1-3Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rosario Central wins, 2 draws, 1 Independ. Rivadavia win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 23, 2026Independ. Rivadavia 2-0 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
Nov 5, 2024Independ. Rivadavia 1-1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
Feb 8, 2024Rosario Central 1-0 Independ. RivadaviaCopa de la Liga Profesional
Apr 8, 2013Independ. Rivadavia 1-3 Rosario CentralPrimera Nacional
Oct 8, 2012Rosario Central 2-2 Independ. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
Apr 10, 2012Rosario Central 1-0 Independ. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central on Mar 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rosario Central score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Independ. Rivadavia score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rosario Central1.00.967/156/15
Independ. Rivadavia1.31.159/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rosario Central sit 3rd in Liga Profesional Argentina (19 points from 11 matches) and Independ. Rivadavia sit 5th (18 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Rosario Central1154212919
5Independ. Rivadavia11533151418

A question about Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The Footlab AI model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Independ. Rivadavia.
Where and when is Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia played?
Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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