Rylands vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Arena, Warrington, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rylands vs Alfreton Town?
Rylands starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rylands have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Alfreton Town have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avro(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Rylands score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylands | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rylands sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 5 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Rylands | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rylands vs Alfreton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Alfreton Town.
- Where and when is Rylands vs Alfreton Town played?
- Rylands vs Alfreton Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsAshton United
- Dec 12, 2026Hyde UnitedvsBamber Bridge
- Dec 12, 2026Curzon AshtonvsCleethorpes Town
- Dec 12, 2026Ilkeston TownvsBury
- Dec 12, 2026Leek TownvsWorkington
- Dec 12, 2026Lancaster CityvsGuiseley AFC
- Dec 12, 2026United of ManchestervsRedcar Athletic
- Dec 12, 2026Whitby TownvsQuorn