San Diego vs Colorado Rapids: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Colorado Rapids. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Diego vs Colorado Rapids?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate San Diego (1,832) and Colorado Rapids (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Diego have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Colorado Rapids have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 3-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 23, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 San Diego win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Colorado Rapids win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Colorado Rapids 1-0 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
| May 15, 2025 | San Diego 2-0 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Colorado Rapids 3-2 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Colorado Rapids vs San Diego on Jul 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Diego score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Rapids score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Colorado Rapids | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Diego sit 13th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 20 matches) and Colorado Rapids sit 7th (28 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 28 |
| 13 | San Diego | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 32 | 24 |
Who is out?
8 reported absence(s) for this match.
- H. OjediranColorado RapidsDoubtful(Injury)
- J. TravisColorado RapidsOut(Ankle Injury)
- K. Stewart-BaynesColorado RapidsOut(Leg Injury)
- M. DiopColorado RapidsOut(Knee Injury)
- M. NavarroColorado RapidsDoubtful(Injury)
- T. Ku-DiPietroColorado RapidsOut(Shoulder Injury)
- Z. SteffenColorado RapidsOut(Shoulder Injury)
- P. SisniegaSan DiegoOut(Back Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids?
- The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Colorado Rapids.
- Where and when is San Diego vs Colorado Rapids played?
- San Diego vs Colorado Rapids is played on August 23, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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