Match

San Diego vs Colorado Rapids: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)

San DiegoColorado Rapids

The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Colorado Rapids. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Diego vs Colorado Rapids?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate San Diego (1,832) and Colorado Rapids (1,806).

San Diego win47 %
Draw25 %
Colorado Rapids win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Diego have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Colorado Rapids have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Diego
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Portland Timbers(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Los Angeles FC(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026Puebla(home)3-2Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026Club Tijuana(home)1-0Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026Club America(away)1-3Leagues Cup
Colorado Rapids
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Sporting Kansas City(home)2-0Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026Austin(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026St. Louis City(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026San Diego(home)1-0Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 San Diego win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Colorado Rapids win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2026Colorado Rapids 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
May 15, 2025San Diego 2-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Apr 13, 2025Colorado Rapids 3-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Colorado Rapids vs San Diego on Jul 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Diego score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Rapids score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Diego1.51.549/158/15
Colorado Rapids0.90.975/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Diego sit 13th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 20 matches) and Colorado Rapids sit 7th (28 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Colorado Rapids209110302528
13San Diego20668343224

Who is out?

8 reported absence(s) for this match.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids?
The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Colorado Rapids.
Where and when is San Diego vs Colorado Rapids played?
San Diego vs Colorado Rapids is played on August 23, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: San Diego and Colorado Rapids

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