Match

FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

FC DallasColorado Rapids

The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Colorado Rapids. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate FC Dallas (1,852) and Colorado Rapids (1,757).

FC Dallas win56 %
Draw24 %
Colorado Rapids win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dallas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Colorado Rapids have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Dallas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(away)0-5Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Real Salt Lake(away)4-3Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026Austin(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026Toluca(away)1-3Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Guadalajara Chivas(away)1-0Leagues Cup
Colorado Rapids
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026San Diego(away)0-3Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Sporting Kansas City(home)2-0Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026Austin(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026St. Louis City(away)0-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Dallas win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Colorado Rapids win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Colorado Rapids 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Sep 21, 2025FC Dallas 3-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025Colorado Rapids 3-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024FC Dallas 2-3 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024Colorado Rapids 2-1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Oct 15, 2023FC Dallas 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Rapids score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Dallas1.71.649/1510/15
Colorado Rapids0.80.974/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Dallas sit 5th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and Colorado Rapids sit 7th (28 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5FC Dallas21966383433
7Colorado Rapids219111302828

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?
The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Colorado Rapids.
Where and when is FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids played?
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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