Where and when is San Diego vs Seattle Sounders played?

San Diego vs Seattle Sounders is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Diego vs Seattle Sounders: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)

San Diego

Seattle Sounders

The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Seattle Sounders. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate San Diego (1,809) and Seattle Sounders (1,799).

San Diego win51 %

Draw24 %

Seattle Sounders win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Diego have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Seattle Sounders have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Diego
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Colorado Rapids(home)	3-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Portland Timbers(away)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	1-0	Leagues Cup

Seattle Sounders
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Austin(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Club Queretaro(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 San Diego win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Seattle Sounders win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Seattle Sounders 1-1 San Diego	Major League Soccer
May 29, 2025	Seattle Sounders 1-0 San Diego	Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025	San Diego 3-0 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs San Diego on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Diego score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Seattle Sounders score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Diego	1.7	1.5	5	9/15	9/15
Seattle Sounders	0.9	1.9	1	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Diego sit 11th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 21 matches) and Seattle Sounders sit 13th (25 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	San Diego	21	7	6	8	37	32	27
13	Seattle Sounders	20	7	4	9	22	27	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?: The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Seattle Sounders.
Where and when is San Diego vs Seattle Sounders played?: San Diego vs Seattle Sounders is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.