San Giovanni vs Tre Penne: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, Borgo Maggiore
The Footlab model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for San Giovanni. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Giovanni vs Tre Penne?
Tre Penne starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,380 vs 1,127).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Giovanni have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tre Penne have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 0-4 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 3-1 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| May 9, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| May 6, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Cosmos(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 San Giovanni win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Tre Penne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tre Penne 4-0 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Feb 10, 2026 | San Giovanni 0-2 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Tre Penne 3-2 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Nov 30, 2024 | San Giovanni 1-1 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Feb 10, 2024 | San Giovanni 1-3 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Tre Penne 5-0 San Giovanni | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Tre Penne vs San Giovanni on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Giovanni score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tre Penne score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Giovanni | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Tre Penne | 2.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Giovanni sit 12th in Campionato (31 points from 30 matches) and Tre Penne sit 3rd (70 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 18 | 70 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 43 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Giovanni vs Tre Penne?
- The Footlab model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for San Giovanni.
- Where and when is San Giovanni vs Tre Penne played?
- San Giovanni vs Tre Penne is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.