Tre Penne vs Cosmos: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo, Città di San Marino
The Footlab model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Cosmos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tre Penne vs Cosmos?
Tre Penne starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,380 vs 1,232).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tre Penne have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Cosmos have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 3-1 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| May 9, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| May 6, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Cosmos(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Tre Penne(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Pennarossa(home) | 3-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 1-3 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tre Penne win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Cosmos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Cosmos 0-0 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Tre Penne 0-0 Cosmos | Campionato |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Tre Penne 1-1 Cosmos | Campionato |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Cosmos 3-0 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| May 6, 2025 | Cosmos 1-0 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| May 3, 2025 | Tre Penne 1-1 Cosmos | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Tre Penne score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cosmos score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Penne | 2.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cosmos | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tre Penne sit 3rd in Campionato (70 points from 30 matches) and Cosmos sit 8th (42 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 18 | 70 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 23 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tre Penne vs Cosmos?
- The Footlab model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Cosmos.
- Where and when is Tre Penne vs Cosmos played?
- Tre Penne vs Cosmos is played on September 4, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.