Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, Serravalle
The Footlab model makes Juvenes / Dogana the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Faetano. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano?
Juvenes / Dogana starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,123 vs 959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juvenes / Dogana have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Faetano have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Libertas(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Murata(home) | 5-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Fiorentino(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Juvenes / Dogana win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Faetano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Faetano 0-1 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Juvenes / Dogana 3-1 Faetano | Campionato |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Juvenes / Dogana 2-1 Faetano | Campionato |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Faetano 1-0 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Faetano 0-3 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Juvenes / Dogana 3-1 Faetano | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Faetano vs Juvenes / Dogana on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juvenes / Dogana score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Faetano score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juvenes / Dogana | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Faetano | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juvenes / Dogana sit 9th in Campionato (37 points from 30 matches) and Faetano sit 13th (22 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Juvenes / Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 37 |
| 13 | Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 55 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano?
- The Footlab model makes Juvenes / Dogana the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Faetano.
- Where and when is Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano played?
- Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano is played on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.