Virtus vs La Fiorita: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, Acquaviva
The Footlab model makes Virtus the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for La Fiorita. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus vs La Fiorita?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Virtus (1,489) and La Fiorita (1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; La Fiorita have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dila(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Dila(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 16, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| May 9, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Titano |
| May 16, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Virtus win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 La Fiorita win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Virtus 2-1 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| Jan 18, 2026 | La Fiorita 1-1 Virtus | Campionato |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Virtus 2-2 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Virtus 1-0 La Fiorita | Coppa Titano |
| Mar 5, 2025 | La Fiorita 0-0 Virtus | Coppa Titano |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Virtus 1-1 La Fiorita | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; La Fiorita score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| La Fiorita | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus sit 2nd in Campionato (72 points from 30 matches) and La Fiorita sit 4th (57 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76 | 20 | 72 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64 | 25 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus vs La Fiorita?
- The Footlab model makes Virtus the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for La Fiorita.
- Where and when is Virtus vs La Fiorita played?
- Virtus vs La Fiorita is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.