San Marino Academy vs Fiorentino: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Fiorentino the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for San Marino Academy. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Marino Academy vs Fiorentino?
Fiorentino starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,138 vs 945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Marino Academy have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Fiorentino have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Cailungo(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Fiorentino(home) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 3-2 | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 25, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Murata(away) | 4-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Marino Academy win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Fiorentino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | San Marino Academy 0-3 Fiorentino | Campionato |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Fiorentino 1-0 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Fiorentino 2-1 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Sep 21, 2024 | San Marino Academy 1-2 Fiorentino | Campionato |
| Feb 24, 2024 | San Marino Academy 2-0 Fiorentino | Campionato |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Fiorentino 3-2 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: San Marino Academy vs Fiorentino on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Marino Academy score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentino score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Marino Academy | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fiorentino | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Marino Academy sit 14th in Campionato (16 points from 30 matches) and Fiorentino sit 7th (46 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 42 | 46 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 60 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Marino Academy vs Fiorentino?
- The Footlab model makes Fiorentino the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for San Marino Academy.
- Where and when is San Marino Academy vs Fiorentino played?
- San Marino Academy vs Fiorentino is played on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC), in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.