San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos, Gasteiz
The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Lagun Onak. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Ignacio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate San Ignacio (1,779) and Lagun Onak (1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Ignacio
Not enough data to predict the San Ignacio lineup.
Lagun Onak
Not enough data to predict the Lagun Onak lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Ignacio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lagun Onak have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 San Ignacio wins, 0 draws, 3 Lagun Onak wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagun Onak 1-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lagun Onak 0-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | San Ignacio 1-0 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | San Ignacio 0-5 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Lagun Onak 1-2 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 1, 2024 | Lagun Onak 4-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Lagun Onak vs San Ignacio on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Ignacio score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lagun Onak score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Ignacio | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lagun Onak | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Ignacio sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (8 points from 6 matches) and Lagun Onak sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
A question about San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Lagun Onak.
- Where and when is San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak played?
- San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.