São João Ver vs Leça: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube São João de Ver, São João de Ver
The Footlab AI model makes Leça the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for São João Ver. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leça wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São João Ver vs Leça?
Leça starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for São João Ver vs Leça
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
São João Ver
4-3-3- 7J. Machado
- 17L. Soares
- 87Zequinha
- 29Rodrigo Valente
- 6M. Camara
- 33Washington Santana
- 55M. Vilela
- 25Ruca Morgado
- 40Matos Joao
- 4Bruno Morais
- 30S. M. Junior J.
Leça
4-3-3- 10Nicolas
- 11B. Mesquita
- 9M. Fortes
- 20Rodrigo Ferreira
- 33Diogo Pereira
- 21Carlos Avelino
- 23D. Ribeiro
- 41Cássio Scheid
- 22A. Coutinho
- 4Fábio Baldé
- 1M. Paiva
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São João Ver have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Leça have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trofense(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Trofense(away) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 São João Ver wins, 1 draw, 0 Leça wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Leça 1-1 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
São João Ver score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Leça score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São João Ver | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Leça | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
São João Ver sit 7th in Liga 3 (6 points from 6 matches) and Leça sit 2nd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about São João Ver vs Leça?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São João Ver vs Leça?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leça the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for São João Ver.
- Where and when is São João Ver vs Leça played?
- São João Ver vs Leça is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube São João de Ver, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.